Atlantic tropical wave and cyclogenesis forecasting in the physical and new AI forecast systems at ECMWF
Published in Weather and Forecasting, 2026
Assesses the skill of ECMWF physical and AI-based forecast systems in predicting Atlantic tropical waves and tropical cyclogenesis, with implications for operational forecasting improvements.
Recommended citation: Majumdar, S. J., L. Magnusson, Q. A. Lawton, R. Emerton, S. Lang, M. Maier-Gerber, and D. S. Richardson, 2025: Atlantic tropical wave and cyclogenesis forecasting in the physical and new AI forecast systems at ECMWF. Weather and Forecasting, 41(6). 1181-1197. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-25-0200.1
Download Paper